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Ergebnisse zeigen, dass liquide Banken ihre Kreditvergabe nach einem Anstieg der Unsicherheit weniger stark verlangsamen als … Kombination aus Vorzeichen- und Nullrestriktionen von Unsicherheit ausgelöste Kreditangebotsschocks identifiziert. Ein Vergleich … dieser Kreditangebotsschocks mit von Unsicherheit ausgelösten Kreditnachfrageschocks zeigt, dass die Verschlechterung der BIP …
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The United Kingdom's potential exit from the EU poses a number of macroeconomic risks. Considering the overall growth of uncertainty, the recession in the UK cannot be ruled out. The decline in capital inflows to the UK economy can be predicted, which could pose a threat to the stability of the...
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This paper investigates how financial conditions and macroeconomic uncertainty jointly affect macroeconomic tail risks. We first document that tight financial conditions decrease all conditional quantiles of future output growth in the near term, while high macroeconomic uncertainty stretches...
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We propose a multicountry quantile factor augmeneted vector autoregression (QFAVAR) to model heterogeneities both across countries and across characteristics of the distributions of macroeconomic time series. The presence of quantile factors allows for summarizing these two heterogeneities in a...
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