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This paper analyzes sovereign risk contagion in the Eurozone using an extension to the canonical model for contagion … contagion in typically bounded time intervals. Controlling for changes in the risk pricing by investors, we detect several … channels of pure contagion between 2008 and 2012. Further, we find that the bailout-programs for Greece, Ireland and Portugal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222446
Recent studies find that short-term fluctuations in EMU have been symmetric. This finding leads to benign views on the functioning of EMU as an optimum currency area (OCA), that are difficult to reconcile with the sovereign debt crisis. We try to solve this puzzle by looking at medium-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865689
The recent financial crisis highlighted that balance sheet exposures can be a major shock transmission channel. Using sectoral accounts data in combination with data from the Coordinated Portfolio Investment Survey, International Investment Position, and BIS this paper estimates bilateral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021439
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449789
financial sector and factors that explain why these strains lead to system-wide contagion and a possible credit crunch. Most of … that a financial crisis with its contagion within the system is caused by failures of legal, regulatory and political … crises would be reduced if appropriate institutions could be put in place Lacking appropriate institutions to avoid contagion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320249
This paper empirically investigates the transmission of systemic risk across the Euro Area by employing a Global VAR model. We find that a union aggregate systemic risk shock results in a sharp decline in output, with two thirds of the response to be attributed to cross-country spillovers. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012704731
This paper estimates a two-country model with a global bank, using US and Euro Area (EA) data, and Bayesian methods. The estimated model matches key US and EA business cycle statistics. Empirically, a model version with a bank capital requirement outperforms a structure without such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035517
This paper empirically investigates the transmission of systemic risk across the Euro Area by employing a Global VAR model. We find that a union aggregate systemic risk shock results in a sharp decline in output, with two thirds of the response to be attributed to cross-country spillovers. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310753
This paper criticises the standard methodology used to measure the importance of different channels of risk sharing in federal states such as the one used in Asdrubali et al.'s (1996) seminal contribution. It argues that the methodology chosen in these papers systematically underestimates the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011919725
another country. Using this new approach, I revisit the sovereign risk contagion in the euro area. I find striking shifts in … market pricing functions for the sovereign bond spreads. Multi-country contagion plays a dominant role in driving such shifts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491593