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I study spillovers of US monetary policy to the rest of the world, as well as spillbacks to the US economy in an empirical multi-country model over time. Within the multilateral framework, I distinguish the bilateral effect from the network effects that arise from interactions among recipient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256990
To analyze the international transmission of business cycle fluctuations, we propose a new multilevel dynamic factor model with a block structure that (i) does not restrict the factors to being orthogonal and (ii) mixes data sampled at quarterly and monthly frequencies. By means of Monte Carlo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305394
We augment a standard monetary DSGE model to include a banking sector and financial markets. We fit the model to Euro Area and US data. We find that agency problems in financial contracts, liquidity constraints facing banks and shocks that alter the perception of market risk and hit financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605238
We investigate whether frictions in US financial markets amplify the international propagation of US financial shocks. The dynamics of the US economy is modeled jointly with global macroeconomic and financial variables using a threshold vector autoregression that allows us to capture...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010493885
This paper contributes to the GDP-consumption comovement puzzle literature investigating the role of tax evasion in explaining the consumption path after a Marginal Efficiency of Investment shock. We use an otherwise standard medium-scale New Keynesian DSGE model combining tax evasion with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011515322
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012546900
We explore how the sources of shocks driving interest rates, country vulnerabilities, and central bank communications affect the spillovers of U.S. monetary policy changes to emerging market economies (EMEs). We utilize a two-country New Keynesian model with financial frictions and partly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584356
This paper discusses the role of sterilized foreign exchange (FX) interventions as a monetary policy instrument for emerging market economies in response to external shocks. We develop a model for a commodity-exporting small open economy in which FX intervention is considered as a balance sheet...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616248
Using a Markov-switching VAR, we show that the effects of uncertainty shocks on output are four times higher in a regime of economic distress than in a tranquil regime. We then provide a structural interpretation of these facts. To do so, we develop a business cycle model in which agents are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795652
How does uncertainty affect the costs of raising finance in the bond market and via bank loans? Empirically, this paper finds that heightened uncertainty is accompanied by an increase in corporate bond yields and a decrease in bank lending rates. This finding can be explained with a model that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958806