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reduce the maize price by 81%. This implies a decrease in the maize price level of 70% (110 USD/t) below the export parity … price. This makes maize exports profitable and shifts the trade regime from autarky to an export parity regime. On the other … price, the domestic maize price is wandering between the border prices and it is unprofitable to export maize. Therefore …
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We use macro finance models to study the interaction between macro variables and the Brazilian sovereign yield curve using daily data. We calculate the model implied default probabilities and a measure of the impact of macro shocks on the probabilities. An extension of the Dai-Singleton...
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In this paper I investigate the relation between macroeconomic risk and higher-moment risk premia. I use existing methodology on higher-moment swaps and estimate the excess returns for variance and skewness swaps. I also introduce new methodology for kurtosis swaps. The expected excess returns...
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