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dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's ambiguity aversion to match only the first moment of the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756113
dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's ambiguity aversion to match only the first moment of the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994544
not necessarily imply that social insurance programs should be expanded. Inasmuch as disaster risk management policies at … the national level are typically without coherent foundations, we provide tentative indications of how the farm level risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390556
use remittances, informal loans, or assets as ex post risk-coping mechanisms. Since these households have limited access … increase. Borrowers and lenders may be experiencing similar shocks, which would reduce the effectiveness of local risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442019
We propose a blended approach which combines identification via heteroskedasticity with the widely used methods of sign restrictions, narrative restrictions, and external instruments.Since heteroskedasticity in the reduced form can be exploited to point identify a set of orthogonal shocks, its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356078
We estimate demand, supply, monetary, investment and financial shocks in a VAR identified with a minimum set of sign restrictions on US data. We find that financial shocks are major drivers of fluctuations in output, stock prices and investment but have a limited effect on inflation. In a second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010387279
This paper proposes a multivariate stochastic volatility-in-vector autoregression model called the conditional autoregressive inverse Wishart-in-VAR (CAIW-in-VAR) model as a framework for studying the real effects of uncertainty shocks. We make three contributions to the literature. First, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011500382
and that countries share global long-run risk and propose a theoretical framework that rationalizes the dynamics of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908986
Based on SVAR models identified by sign restrictions, we estimate the macroeconomic effects of financial and uncertainty shocks in the euro area and the US, paying particular attention to their effects on prices. While our results confirm that such disturbances are important drivers of output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898117
This paper investigates liquidity spillovers between the US and European interbank market during turbulent and tranquil periods. We show that an endogenous model with time-varying transition probabilities is effective in describing the propagation of liquidity shocks within the interbank market,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936358