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demand and supply shocks to several European economies and those of Germany. The goals is to obtain dynamic measures of … members. Furthermore, results prove that this increasing synchronisation occurred mainly in peripheral countries. For supply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917260
pragmatic question in this context is: Did delegating monetary policy to the ECB increase stress in the individual euro area … countries? An SVAR analysis reveals that monetary stress has declined more in the euro area than in the euro areas’ doppelganger … euro becoming a dominant currency. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301359
This paper examines the reaction of house prices in a panel of euro area countries to monetary policy surprises over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418355
The fiscal consolidation measures adopted in many euro area countries over 2010-13 reduced excessive domestic fiscal …-based simulations for the euro area with a view to gauge the cross-country impact of the fiscal measures adopted over 2010-13. The paper …-border fiscal spillovers in the euro area. However, once the analysis takes into account the remaining channels (e.g. monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636202
cycles ; Euro ; Optimum Currency Area ; EMU ; Monetary Policy ; Exchange rate regime ; Cross-country spillovers …In this paper we analyze European business cycles before and under EMU. Across the two periods we find 1) a significant … able to replicate key features of the data prior to and under EMU. We find that the euro has a strong bearing on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850663
The last twenty years have brought a bulk of inconsistent results on the determinants of business cycle synchronization (BCS). Researchers have usually focused their attention on a limited set of possible determinants, not accounting for model uncertainty. For these reasons, Bayesian Model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012123356
The paper analyses the transmission of global financial shocks to individual member states of the European Monetary Union (EMU), in which monetary policy is delegated to the ECB and financial markets are fully integrated. Using a panel VAR model, we show that the asymmetric effects of global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011495568
Bank (ECB) cannot outperform its national predecessors, as the euro area countries experience different business cycles yet …Twenty years after the introduction of the euro, this Weekly Report uses an empirical analysis to assess the … unable to counter long-term macroeconomic imbalances. To protect euro area countries from crises more effectively, priority …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012007718
housing prices that are orthogonal to business cycles movements. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012171072
This paper investigates the effects of house price uncertainty shocks on economic activity, and traces the origins of the shocks. A Markov-switching vector autoregression (MS-VAR) model shows that house price uncertainty shocks in expansionary regimes increase residential investment, housing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842513