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The taper tantrum episode induced a sudden outflow of capital from emerging markets back to the United States. This paper analyzes exchange market pressure in 93 developing and emerging market economies during this episode, drawing on recent methodological improvements in measuring exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835369
When the Argentine economy collapsed in the final days of December 2001, in fact, this did not come too much as a surprise. The country had entered its fourth consecutive year of recession and skepticism about the sustainability of its economic model was widespread. However, the magnitude of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100346
This paper re-examines the role of real supply shocks in international business cycles. In contrast to previous studies, we extend the concept of supply shocks beyond the productivity shock towards labor supply shocks. Our analysis simultaneously identifies five real and nominal disturbances in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344601
Steinsson (2008) shows that real shocks that affect the New Keynesian Phillips curve explain the behavior of the real exchange rate in a sticky-price business cycle model. This paper reveals that these shocks are important for the volatility of the real exchange rate in the data. In a structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010400806
This paper is motivated by the controversial issue in the literature pertaining to the impact of real exchange rate, housing prices and stock prices on current account fluctuations. Thailand's quarterly data are used to examine the impacts of shocks to asset prices and real exchange rate on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967437
In emerging Asia, banks constitute the dominant source of financing consumption and investment, and bank balance sheets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243072
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011782356
outcome of fiscal shocks is strongly related to debt levels. The Euro-area countries included in the investigation are Greece …, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, and Portugal, over the sample period 1999-2016, i.e., the EMU period. The main … (And Should) Germany Do It? Spillovers of German Fiscal Policies in the Euro Area -- 7 The labor market outcomes of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012397755
bargaining shock. We then impose these restrictions on a Global VAR consisting of Germany and 8 EMU countries to identify a wage … bargaining shock in Germany. Our results show that, although the German current account was significantly affected by wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532618
: aggregate supply shocks, aggregate spending shocks, and monetary shocks. Applying a structural VAR to data for the eurozone and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473872