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We propose a TVP-VAR with stochastic volatility for the unemployment rate, core inflation and the federal funds rate … rise in monetary policy uncertainty increases unemployment and lowers core inflation; the effects on unemployment in … shocks) less effective at moving unemployment and core inflation. We also posit a theoretical model to provide the structural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313628
We propose a TVP-VAR with stochastic volatility for the unemployment rate, core inflation and the federal funds rate … rise in monetary policy uncertainty increases unemployment and lowers core inflation; the effects on unemployment in … shocks) less effective at moving unemployment and core inflation. We also posit a theoretical model to provide the structural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313883
This paper shows that increased volatility of Örm-level productivity can push the nominal interest rate to its lower bound with large amplification effects on macroeconomic aggregates. The framework combines a simple canonical Önancial accelerator model, time varying risk shocks, and a zero...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012231163
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We show that TFP reacts counter-cyclically to macroeconomic shocks, which we identify by imposing sign restrictions. Counterfactual simulations, based on a New Keynesian DSGE model, show that firms manage to employ labor more efficiently during downturns, which leads to a muted drop in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010489298
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inflation and output gap stabilisation. The cost-push effects operate through expectational responses to the interaction between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985094