of the unemployment rate and of worker transitions. …

. We show that ERTEs stabilize unemployment rates by allowing workers to remain with their employers in highly affected …

of the unemployment rate and of worker transitions. … makroökonomische Schocks in Ländern mit stärkeren Gewerkschaften zu kleineren Veränderungen in der Arbeitslosigkeit und den …

Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country and year fixed effects are added to … panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries collected … just over 10000 observations, we predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead. We do so using individuals …

The aim of this paper is to analyze and estimate salient characteristics of unemployment dynamics. Movements in … unemployment are viewed as "chain reactions" of responses to labor market shocks, working their way through systems of interacting … aggregate measures of unemployment responses to temporary and permanent shocks. These measures are temporal (depicting how long …

the impact of uncertainty shocks on unemployment dynamics. Using a vector autoregression approach, we show that … uncertainty shocks measured by stock market volatility have a significant impact on the U.S. unemployment rate. We then develop a …