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originating in credit markets and uncertainty shocks. In the extended set-up financial shocks are even more important and a …
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This paper deals with three aspects of spectacular oil price episodes such as the one witnessed in 2008. First, the concept of temporary explosiveness is proposed as an empirical method for capturing this type of behavior. The application of a recently proposed recursive unit root test shows...
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emerging economies. This paper argues that uncertainty about future monetary policy is a separate transmission channel. We … focus on the taper tantrum episode in 2013, a period with an elevated uncertainty about monetary policy, and use a data set … index about monetary policy uncertainty using a list of uncertainty keywords. An advantage of this index is that it reflects …
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I construct a novel measure of household uncertainty based on survey data for European countries. I show that household … uncertainty shocks do not universally behave like negative demand shocks. Notably, household uncertainty shocks are largely … average markups along with monetary policy play a role in the transmission of household uncertainty to inflation. These …
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