This paper aims to evaluate how public debt management in Brazil has affected its sustainability in the 1996-2007 period. In 2003 Brazilian public debt management changed the trade off between cost minimization and risk minimization emphasizing the first element. Using a Markov-Switching model...

Dieser Beitrag beschäftigt sich mit der Frage, ob die Schuldenbremse in ihrer jetzigen Form noch zeitgemäß ist oder ob sie modifiziert, reformiert oder gänzlich abgeschafft werden sollte? Zentral sind dabei Überlegungen, ob im Rahmen der Schuldenbremse "Zukunftsinvestitionen" anders...

Die bisher vom Bund im Rahmen der Ausnahme von der Schuldenbremse aufgenommenen Notkredite müssen zwischen 2028 und 2061 getilgt werden. Vor diesem Hintergrund werden die rechtlichen Rahmenbedingungen, die fiskalischen Auswirkungen und die Herausforderungen beim Schuldenmanagement näher...

The recent euro area sovereign debt crisis has shown the importance of market reactions for the sustainability of debt. The objective of this paper is to calculate endogenous government debt limits given the markets assessment of the probability to default. The estimated primary balance reaction...

Our previous assessment of debt sustainability in developing Asia, conducted in 2011, found that the region's fiscal outlook was mostly benign. In this study we update the debt sustainability assessment, taking stock of the latest data and including a larger number of countries. With the benefit...

In this paper we analyse debt stabilization in a monetary union that features endogenous risk premia. In particular, we analyse debt stabilization in two diametrically opposed regimes. In the first regime, the "national fiscal discipline regime", financial markets impose sovereign risk premia...

In the wake of the financial crisis there has been renewed focus on the importance of a country’s net external debt position in determining domestic interest rates and, relatedly, its vulnerability to a crisis. This paper extends the panel estimation of OECD countries described in Turner and...

This paper aims to evaluate how public debt management in Brazil has affected its sustainability in the 1996-2007 period. In 2003 Brazilian public debt management changed the trade off between cost minimization and risk minimization emphasizing the first element. Using a Markov-Switching model...

Hungary's government debt and its sustainability is a current issue from many different aspects. Applying debt-dynamic analyses, in the first part of this paper, the author examines what periods the last twelve years can be split into with regard to economic policy. His most important conclusion...

We model a sovereign debt manager who has a prediction of the budget deficit and needs to raise debt at the beginning of the budget period. In this setting, the sovereign may issue debt in excess of expected funding needs – a precautionary cash buffer – as a measure of self-insurance against...