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Demografischer Wandel und Wirtschaft
Budliger, Hendrik (ed.) - 2021
Deutschland -- Was taugen die Vorhersagen? Regionale Unterschiede in der demografischen Entwicklung, Ursachen und … Zukunftsprognosen -- Die Generationenökonomie -- Auswirkungen des demografischen Wandels auf den Schweizer Arbeitsmarkt -- Flucht aus …, Arbeitsmarkt, Rentenversicherung, Staatsfinanzen und den Klimawandel analysiert sowie die Covid-19-Pandemie und deren Auswirkung …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496251
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Demografischer Wandel und Wirtschaft
Budliger, Hendrik (ed.) - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012255608
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A Real Time Evaluation of Employment Forecasts in Switzerland
Graff, Michael - 2012
We evaluate nowcasts and one- to four-quarter-ahead forecasts of Swiss full time equivalent jobs from 1998q1–2011q4, comparing forecasts of the KOF Swiss Economic Institute and of the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs with the outcome of the reference series. Both forecasts are biased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098262
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Short-Run Regional Forecasts : Spatial Models Through Varying Cross-Sectional and Temporal Dimensions
Mayor, Matías - 2014
In any economic analysis, regions or municipalities should not be regarded as isolated spatial units, but rather as highly interrelated small open economies. These spatial interrelations must be considered also when the aim is to forecast economic variables. For example, policy makers need...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065516
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Short-run regional forecasts : spatial models through varying cross-sectional and temporal dimensions
Mayor-Fernández, Matías; Patuelli, Roberto - 2012
In any economic analysis, regions or municipalities should not be regarded as isolated spatial units, but rather as highly interrelated small open economies. These spatial interrelations must be considered also when the aim is to forecast economic variables. For example, policy makers need...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731365
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Short-Run Regional Forecasts : Spatial Models Through Varying Cross-Sectional and Temporal Dimensions
Patuelli, Roberto; Mayor, Matías - 2012
In any economic analysis, regions or municipalities should not be regarded as isolated spatial units, but rather as highly interrelated small open economies. These spatial interrelations must be considered also when the aim is to forecast economic variables. For example, policy makers need...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014168775
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Forecasting Swiss exports using Bayesian forecast reconciliation
Eckert, Florian; Hyndman, Rob J.; Panagiotelis, Anastasios - 2019
This paper conducts an extensive forecasting study on 13,118 time series measuring Swiss goods exports, grouped hierarchically by export destination and product category. We apply existing state of the art methods in forecast reconciliation and introduce a novel Bayesian reconciliation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012058388
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The Swiss Mass Immigration Initiative : the impact of increased policy uncertainty on expected firm behaviour
Abberger, Klaus; Dibiasi, Andreas; Siegenthaler, Michael; … - 2014
In Switzerland a sudden policy uncertainty shock happened in February 2014 with the close and largely unexpected acceptance of a referendum aiming at limiting free movement of persons. The referendum requires Switzerland to reintroduce annual quotas for immigrants within three years. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010422826
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The effect of demographic change on the Swiss labor market : the role of participation rates
Buchmann, Manuel - 2020
The ongoing demographic change is expected to negatively affect the effective labor supply of various developed countries. In order to counteract these developments, many suggested policy measures target the participation rate of women and old workers. In this paper, I develop a multi-sectoral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012234516
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Measuring the Output Gap in Switzerland with Linear Opinion Pools
Buncic, Daniel - 2016
We use the recently proposed linear opinion pool methodology of Garratt et al. (2014) to construct real-time ensemble nowcast densities of the output gap for Switzerland over an out-of-sample period from 2003:Q1 to 2015:Q4. The model space consists of a large number of bivariate VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984465