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We study the extent of global inflation synchronization using a dynamic factor model in a large set of countries over a half century. Our methodology allows us to account for differences across groups of countries (advanced economies and emerging market and developing economies) and to analyze...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011980916
Amid the recent commodity price gyrations, policy makers have become increasingly concerned in assessing to what extent oil and food price shocks transmit to the inflationary outlook and the real economy. In this paper, we try to tackle this issue by means of a Global Vector Autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867024
This paper examines the asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and oil price uncertainty (OPU) on inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the 1990s until August 2022 for a number of developed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260984
Using a time-varying parameter SVAR model over the period 1994 to 2021, this paper provides estimates of exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to both producer and consumer prices for nine emerging Asian economies. We also examine the role of four global shocks as propagation channels to both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290882
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012223758
The paper studies the extent of global inflation synchronization using a dynamic factor model in a large set of countries over a half century. The authors' methodology allows them to account for differences across groups of countries (advanced economies and emerging market and developing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012008116
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127174
contributed to a reduction in the pass-through to various price indexes (import prices, producer prices and consumer prices) from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136234
We argue that, theoretically, exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into consumer prices may be nonlinear in contrast to standard linear estimates found in the literature. ERPT can be higher in periods of financial or confidence crises, when firms have no incentive to absorb cost increases in their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106217
the conventional wisdom that ERPT into both import and consumer prices is always higher in quot;emergingquot; than in quot …;developedquot; countries. For emerging markets with only one digit inflation (most notably the Asian countries), passthrough to import and … import openness and ERPT, while plausible theoretically, finds only weak empirical support …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777413