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This paper questions the conventional wisdom that publication bias must result from the biased preferences of researchers. When readers only compare the number of positive and negative results of papers to make their decisions, even unbiased researchers will omit noisy null results and inflate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126742
significant and theory-confirming estimates for publication. Meta-regression models were originally developed for the synthesis of … statistically significant and theory-confirming estimates. Each regression specification may possibly suffer from biases such as … authors of primary studies search for statistically significant and theory-confirming estimates, meta-regression models tend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408185
Recently, there has been much discussion about replicability and credibility. By integrating the full research record, increasing statistical power, reducing bias and enhancing credibility, meta-analysis is widely regarded as 'best evidence'. Through Monte Carlo simulation, closely calibrated on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034162
A meta-analysis is a tool for aggregating estimates of a similar "effect" across many studies. Publication bias is the phenomenon where literature is sample selected in favor of studies having statistically significant results and/or having estimates that satisfy pre-conceived expectations. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012123199
In statistics, samples are drawn from a population in a data-generating process (DGP). Standard errors measure the uncertainty in estimates of population parameters. In science, evidence is generated to test hypotheses in an evidence-generating process (EGP). We claim that EGP variation across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014478337
Are estimates typically closer to the true parameter value when those estimates are published in highly-ranked economics journals? Using 14,387 published estimates from 24 large literatures, we find that, within literatures, the mean and variance of parameter estimates have little or no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015411992
theory model that specifies the correct set of m relevant exogenous variables, x{t}, within the larger set of m k candidate … the estimator distribution of the theory parameters. This strategy returns the theory-parameter estimates when the theory … is correct, yet protects against the theory being under-specified because some w{t} are relevant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014176132
Econometricians tend to hold simultaneously two views in tension with each other: an apparent anti-realism that holds that all models are false and at best useful constructs or approximations to true models and an apparent realism that models are to be judged by their success at capturing an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014187465
Research in the subject area of economics (as a social science) has defined its ontology of scientific investigation through economic methodology; a philosophical approach entailing the proviso of empirical evidence, and backed by an understanding of human interaction in their natural habitat....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014124565
This paper shows how a great philosopher, like Popper, can easily fall back to a common superstitious person. This paper also criticizes the general practice by statisticians to invent ad hoc method or manipulate data to suppress errors. Instead, this paper promotes the Xenophanes spirit of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984223