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We study the identification and estimation of structural parameters in dynamic panel data logit models where decisions are forward-looking and the joint distribution of unobserved heterogeneity and observable state variables is nonparametric, i.e., fixed-effects model. We consider models with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919609
This paper discusses how specification of probabilistic models for multistate duration data generated by individual choices should be justified on a priori theoretical grounds. Preferences are assumed represented by random utilities, where utilities are viewed as random also to the agent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009536460
illustration is provided wherein U.S. unemployment forecasts are constructed using both classical principal components based …
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Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models have become one of the dominant tools for the empirical analysis of macroeconomic time series. Sometimes the flexibility of VAR models leads to overparameterized models, making accurate estimates of impulse responses and forecasts difficult. This book...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013523192
leading business cycle indicators in Russia and Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099334
leading business cycle indicators in Russia and Germany. -- adaptive lasso ; elastic net ; forecasting ; genetic algorithms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630302
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This chapter reviews the microeconometrics literature on partial identification , focusing on the developments of the last thirty years. The topics presented illustrate that the available data combined with credible maintained assumptions may yield much information about a parameter of interest,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024927
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