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We consider optimal stopping problems for ambiguity averse decision makers with multiple priors. In general, backward induction fails. If, however, the class of priors is time-consistent, we establish a generalization of the classical theory of optimal stopping. To this end, we develop first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003731193
We analyze several exotic options of American style in a multiple prior setting and study the optimal exercise strategy from the perspective of an ambiguity averse buyer in a discrete time model of Cox-Ross-Rubinstein style. The multiple prior model relaxes the assumption of a known distribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003921365
We develop a theory of optimal stopping problems under ambiguity in continuous time. Using results from (backward) stochastic calculus, we characterize the value function as the smallest (nonlinear) supermartingale dominating the payoff process. For Markovian models, we derive an adjusted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003964862
We investigate American options in a multiple prior setting of continuous time and determine optimal exercise strategies form the perspective of an ambiguity averse buyer. The multiple prior setting relaxes the presumption of a known distribution of the stock price process and captures the idea...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008990920
The focus of this paper is to analyze the effect that ambiguity will have on the buyer's reservation price and the value of the option to purchase the durable good with an embedded option to resell it. The agent is assumed to be risk neutral and ambiguity averse. The problem is formulated as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010243419
In this paper we study a two-player investment game with a first mover advantage in continuous time with stochastic payoffs, driven by a geometric Brownian motion. One of the players is assumed to be ambiguous with maxmin preferences over a strongly rectangular set of priors. We develop a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010468336
We give short proofs of general theorems about optimal entry and exit problems in Levy models, when payoff streams may have discontinuities and be non-monotone. As applications, we consider exit and entry problems in the theory of real options, and an entry problem with an embedded option to exit
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138430
An ambiguity averse decision-maker contemplates investment of a fixed size capital into a project with a stochastic profit stream under the Knightian uncertainty. Multiple priors are modeled as a "cloud" of diffusion processes with embedded compound Poisson jumps. The "cloud" contains the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045142
This paper studies a class of optimal multiple stopping problems driven by Levy processes. Our model allows for a negative effective discount rate, which arises in a number of financial applications, including stock loans and real options, where the strike price can potentially grow at a higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034195
We consider optimal stopping problems in uncertain environments for an agent assessing utility by virtue of dynamic variational preferences as in [15] or, equivalently, assessing risk by dynamic convex risk measures as in [4]. The solutionis achieved by generalizing the approach in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003878489