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Using different econometric models, Diebold and Li (J Econom 130:337-364, 2006) addressed the practical problem of forecasting the yield curve by predicting the factors level, slope and curvature in the Nelson-Siegel framework. This paper has two main aims: on the one hand, to investigate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011311742
The appearance of negative bond yields presents significant challenges for the fixed income markets, which mainly concern related forecasting models. The Nelson-Siegel-Svensson model (NSS) is one of the models that is most frequently used by central banks to estimate the term structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023361
Researchers who estimate affine term structure models often impose overidentifying restrictions (restrictions on parameters beyond those necessary for identification) for a variety of reasons. While some of those restrictions seem to have minor effects on the extracted factors and some measures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011961381
This paper examines the possibility of applying two most popular parametric yield curve models (Nelson-Siegel and Svensson) in the Croatian financial market. In such an illiquid and undeveloped financial market yield curve modeling presents a special challenge primarily regarding the available...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222884
During the recent crisis, lags in the transmission mechanism of economic shocks, together with monetary and fiscal policy, made it difficult to assess the evolving dynamics of creditworthiness. As such, developments in financial markets became a key guide for investors and policymakers in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010520881
In this paper the author proves that the Expected Net Future Value (ENFV) criterion can lead a risk neutral social planner to reject projects that increase expected utility. By contrast, the Expected Net Present Value (ENPV) rule correctly identifies the economic value of the project. While the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003957019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003924193
This paper proposes a way to study the transmission mechanism of the US monetary policy to foreign yield curves. It elaborates the high-frequency identification of monetary policy shocks from (Piazzesi, 2005) in an international setting. The shocks are extracted from a two-country term structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459782
This paper attempts to provide an economic interpretation of the factors that drive the movements of interest rates of bonds of different maturities in a continuous-time no-arbitrage term structure model for Chile. The dynamics of yields in the model are explained by two latent factors, namely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003746812
In this paper, we elaborate on an idea initially developed by Weitzman (1998) that justifies taking the lowest possible discount rate for far-distant future cash flows. His argument relies on the arbitrary assumption that when the future rate of return of capital (RRC) is uncertain, one should...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003843091