In this paper we model absolute price changes of an option on the XETRA DAX index based on quote-by-quote data from the EUREX exchange. In contrast to other authors, we focus on a parameter-driven model for this purpose and use a Poisson Generalized Linear Model (GLM) with a latent AR(1) process...

We develop an exact and distribution-free procedure to test for quantile predictability at several quantile levels jointly, while allowing for an endogenous predictive regressor with any degree of persistence. The approach proceeds by combining together the quantile regression t-statistics from...

Stock market volatility is the amount of uncertainty or risk about the size of changes in stock market security value. In this study, GARCH model was built to generate stock price volatility and quantile regression estimation was used to determine the cause of volatility in stock market at...

This paper investigates, both in finite samples and asymptotically, statistical inference on predictive regressions where time series are generated by present value models of asset prices. We show that regression-based tests, including optimal robust tests such as Jasson and Moreira's...

Volatility tests are an alternative to regression tests for evaluating the joint null hypothesis of market efficiency and risk neutrality. Acomparison of the power of the two kinds of tests depends on what the alternative hypothesis is taken to be. By considering tests based on conditional...

This paper examines and analyzes the use of Multivariate Regression Analysis (MRA) as a forecasting tool. The authors attempt to test the capability of the multivariate regression model to forecast the prices of stocks classified as ‘A-Group' by the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). Researchers in...