This paper presents a long-term model of the UK economy. It builds on a stream of modelling that seeks to describe the properties of an economy with a non-linear differential equation system the parameters of which are estimated using a continuous-time Full Information Maximum Likelihood (FIML)...

The recent widespread availability of intraday tick-by-tick databases for stocks, options and currencies has had an important impact on research in applied financial econometrics and market microstructure. Econometric Modelling of Stock Market Intraday Activity focuses on the econometric...

This paper gives an overview of some issues related to market valuation, focusing on the developments on the New York equity markets. The 42.4 p.c. fall in the S&P 500 price index between 24 March 2000 - when it reached its all-time high - and 31 December 2002 is situated in a very long term...