We provide the first large-scale study of the performance of expected-return proxies (ERPs) internationally. Analyst-forecast-based ICCs are sparsely populated and not robustly associated with future returns. Earnings-model-forecast-based ICCs are well-populated, but are unreliable outside the...

This paper examines prediction errors in the general dividend discount model using a back-test method. The prediction errors are based on realized dividends, terminal stock prices, and estimates of time-varying discount rates. Models of varying lengths are examined in our tests. We include firms...

Dividend discount model (DDM) is the simplest model for valuing equities in finance. Many analysts belived that DDM is outmoded, but much of the intuition that drives Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is embedded in the DDM model. There are also specific companies stocks where the DDM model...