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", stock-market fluctuations should Granger cause fluctuations of the unemployment rate. We performed several Granger … (2015) for U.S. data, we found that the stock market Granger causes unemployment in the short run and the long run when we … control for a deterministic trend in the unemployment rate. Results of a frequency-domain test show that, in the short run …
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Using monthly and quarterly cross-sectional dispersion in firm level earnings news as a proxy for investor uncertainty about the implications of current aggregate earnings for future discount rates, I find that higher investor uncertainty leads to a lower stock market reaction to aggregate...
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The literature on ‘cash flow' or ‘earnings' beta is theoretically well-motivated in its use of fundamentals, instead of returns, to measure systematic risk. However, empirical measures of earnings beta based on either log-linearizing the return equation or log-linearizing the clean-surplus...
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