No-arbitrage implies a close link between exchange rates and interest returns, but evidence of that link has been elusive. This paper derives an exchange rate asset price model with consumption-risk adjustments. Interest rates and exchange rates reflect common risks which bias their reduced-form...

Multi-agent, financial forecasting, neural networks, dynamical systems, market modeling, cognitive systems, econometrics. - One of the challenges of financial research is to develop models that are capable of explaining and forecasting market price movements and returns.Agent based models focus...