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Seasonality in stock markets is a regular and repetitive phenomenon occurring at some regular intervals of time, which may generate abnormal or excess returns. This paper explores the existence of seasonality in Indian stock market in four forms, namely, day-of-the-week effect, month-of-the-year...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957131
I investigate seasonalities in a set of well-known anomalies in the cross-section of U.S. stock returns. A January seasonality goes beyond a size effect and strongly affects most anomalies, which can even switch sign in January. Return seasonality exists outside of January depending on the month...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029081
An examination of the Shiller cyclically adjusted pricing-earnings (CAPE) ratio reveals its forecasting power for 12-month CRSP equally weighted (EW) excess returns and value weighted (VW) excess returns. The 12-month EW excess returns following low CAPE ratios are, on average, 20.7% higher than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918931
This study examines the calendar effects in 55 Stock market exchange indices around the globe. The effects which are examined are the turn-of-the-Month effect, day-of-the-Week effect, Month-of the-Year effect and semi-Month effect. The methodology followed is the test hypothesis with bootstrap...
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This paper offers a general and comprehensive definition of the day-of-the-week effect. Using symbolic dynamics, we develop a unique test based on ordinal patterns in order to detect it. This test uncovers the fact that the so-called “day-of-the-week” effect is partly an artifact of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011822333
We provide a new framework for modeling trends and periodic patterns in high-frequency financial data. Seeking adaptivity to ever-changing market conditions, we enlarge the Fourier flexible form into a richer functional class: both our smooth trend and the seasonality are non-parametrically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007161