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We investigate the risk of holding credit default swaps (CDS) in the trading book and compare the Value at Risk (VaR) of a CDS position to the VaR for investing in the respective firm's equity using a sample of CDS stock price pairs for 86 actively traded firms over the period from March 2003 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003825863
This study provides a rigorous empirical comparison of structural and reduced-form credit risk frameworks. As major difference we focus on the discriminative modeling of default time. In contrast to previous literature, we calibrate both approaches to bond and equity prices. By using same input...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009010090
This paper addresses the relationship between stock markets and credit default swaps (CDS) markets. In particular, I aim to gauge if the co-movement between stock prices and sovereign CDS spreads increases with the deterioration of the credit quality of sovereign debt. The analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010373349
Using copula methods and simulation-based inference, the authors investigate the association between the performance of a stock index formed by European financial institutions and a basket of CDS contracts of the same sector. Their analysis focuses on (i) assessing the dependence structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010429997
It is well-documented that financial markets become more integrated during turmoil periods. In addition, the recent global financial crisis has led to an in depth analysis and discussion of the pros and cons of derivative instruments, particularly credit default swaps, which are considered as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014403
This paper analyzes the credit market's reaction to loan renegotiation announcements through changes in credit default swap (CDS) spreads. Using a sample of public US firms during the period 2010-2017, we document a positive and significant CDS market reaction (decrease in CDS spreads). The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840428
I investigate the credit market's reaction to restatement announcements through changes in credit default swap (CDS) spreads. I document an overall positive association between CDS returns and restatement announcements. Specifically, I find that more positive CDS returns are associated with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953352
We reinvestigate the CDS-bond basis negativity puzzle after the financial crisis. This puzzle is defined as the unexpected persistence of the dislocation between bond and derivative credit markets. We show that the first two moments of the basis are described by three distinct Markov regimes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859945
We study the risk of holding credit default swaps (CDS) in the trading book. In particular, we compare the Value at Risk (VaR) of a CDS position to the VaR for investing in the respective firm's equity. Our sample consists of CDS – stock price pairs for 86 actively traded firms over the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989272
Using copula methods and simulation-based inference the authors address the association between the performance of the stocks of European banks and the CDS markets. Their analysis has three purposes: (i) analysing the dependence structure of the markets when extreme events occur; (ii) checking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010187546