Showing 1 - 10 of 6,255
We examine hurricane exposure as a systematic risk factor in the US stock market. Motivated by a consumption …-based asset pricing model with heterogeneous agents, we derive a necessary and sufficient condition for a hurricane risk premium … in the cross-section of stock returns. Empirically, we find that -- in the period from 1995 to 2020 -- stocks with a low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313997
extreme downside return risk and is mainly driven by more recent years. There is no premium for stocks whose liquidity is …We merge the literature on downside return risk and liquidity risk and introduce the concept of extreme downside … same time when the market liquidity (return) is lowest. This effect is not driven by linear or downside liquidity risk or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175486
We obtain new methodological and empirical perspectives on the fundamental risk-return tradeoff in stock returns by … findings, these constraints result in a nonlinear model implying a bounded and positive risk-return relationship. Our empirical … results show that the positive risk-return relation in the U.S. data is statistically significant over the mean return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239472
theory assumes that return shocks can be caused by changes in conditional volatility through a time-varying risk premium. On … between implied and realized volatilities (the variance risk premium) and we find that a positive variance risk premium (an … anticipated increase in variance) has more impact on returns than a negative variance risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128856
We show that the Truncated Realized Variance (TRV) of a semimartingale asset price converges to zero when observations are contaminated by microstructure noises. Under the additive iid noise assumption, a central limit theorem is also proved. In consequence it is possible to construct a feasible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113504
This paper develops a present value framework that reflects expectations of future changes in liquidity and liquidity premia. In our framework, a liquidity premium depends explicitly on prices, dividends, costs, and returns. We find that the liquidity premium for the CRSP market portfolio is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938069
This paper examines the present value framework that links market capitalization to non-dividend cash flows (i.e., share repurchases and issuances) beyond the conventional price–dividend relationship. We show that total (dividend plus non-dividend) cash flows can account for a large fraction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924869
We derive the parameter restrictions that a standard equity market model implies for a bivariate vector autoregression for stock prices and dividends, and we show how to test these restrictions using likelihood ratio tests. The restrictions, which imply that stock returns are unpredictable, are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094612
and 4 years is effective in explaining the differences in risk premia across alternative test assets, including recently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856904
By using a nonlinear VAR model, we investigate whether the response of the US stock and housing markets to uncertainty shocks depends on financial conditions. Our model allows us to change the response of the US financial markets to volatility shocks in periods of normal and financial distress....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198932