The scaling properties of two alternative fractal models recently proposed to characterize the dynamics of stock market prices are compared. The former is the Multifractal Model of Asset Return (MMAR) introduced in 1997 by Mandelbrot, Calvet and Fisher in three companion papers. The latter is...

This chapter surveys recent econometric methodologies for inference in large dimensional conditional factor models in finance. Changes in the business cycle and asset characteristics induce time variation in factor loadings and risk premia to be accounted for. The growing trend in the use of...

This paper questions traditional approaches for testing the day-of-the-week effect on stock returns. We propose an alternative approach based on the closure test principle introduced by Marcus, Peritz and Gabriel (1976), which has become very popular in Biometrics and Medical Statistics. We test...

The present study investigate the relationship between sensex returns and Indian-USD Exchange rates and the impact of the time series on each other. Exchange rate fluctuation will effect international trades, thus influence the stock market. The study is based on the secondary sources obtained...

Campbell and Shiller average 10 years of real S&P 500 earnings to construct its Cyclically Adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE, which they then use to forecast its future 10-year returns. In essence, Campbell and Shiller kill two birds with one large stone - they use the 10-year average to reduce noise...

We construct new features based on order book data and separate them into three groups, e.g., time-insensitive features, time-sensitive features and cointegration features. For time-insensitive features, we applied serval transformation on imbalance in different levels, and some other features...

In this paper we propose a new multivariate GARCH model with time-varying conditional correlation structure. The approach adopted here is based on the decomposition of the covariances into correlations and standard deviations. The time-varying conditional correlations change smoothly between two...

In this empirical study, I investigate whether emerging market stock prices can deviate from their fundamental values. Because standard tests are subject to size distortion, a new robust test due to Taylor and Peel (1998) is used here to test periodically collapsing emerging market stock price...

A test for serial independence is proposed which is related to the BDS test but focuses on tail event probabilities rather than probabilities near the center of the distribution. The motivation behind this approach is to obtain a test more suitable for detecting structure in the tails, such as...