Showing 1 - 10 of 673
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001617689
In this paper, we use a modified concept of Granger-(non)causality in reconsidering the negative correlation between stock returns and inflation known in the literature as stock return-inflation puzzle. Based on the quarterly data for Germany including stock returns, inflation rates and growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001746405
This paper analyzes the impact of unanticipated changes in the federal funds rate target on equity prices, with the aim of both estimating the size of the typical reaction and understanding the reasons for the market's response. We find that over the June 1989-December 2002 sample period, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001909010
We propose a theory of asset prices that emphasizes heterogeneous information as the main element determining prices of different securities. Our main analytical innovation is in formulating a model of noisy information aggregation through asset prices, which is parsimonious and tractable, yet...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014176375
In this paper we use a representative consumer model to analyse the equilibrium relation between the transitory deviations from the common trend among consumption, aggregate wealth, and labour income, cay, and focus on the implications for both stock returns and housing returns. The evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014176823
This paper is a study of the spillover effects of U.S. macroeconomic news on different sectors of the Australian stock market. We find that an indication of economic contraction from the United States raises the conditional mean, and most news elicits associated volatility in the Australian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014043639
Evidence is found of fully developed turbulence in the increments of U.S. bond fund flows. These flow increments are found to be both anisotropic and locally isotropic. The response function of the market participants generating the flow turbulence is linked to both renormalization and scale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014052741
We explore the implications of shocks to expected future productivity. In a setting with limited enforcement of financial contracts, firms have to post collateral to obtain external finance. In a real one-sector model with this type of "collateral constraint", positive news about future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014203416
Using U.S. data from 1926 to 2015, I show that financial skewness?a measure comparing cross-sectional upside and downside risks of the distribution of stock market returns of financial firms?is a powerful predictor of business cycle fluctuations. I then show that shocks to financial skewness are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014115594
We study the response of stock prices to monetary policy, distinguishing effects of exogenous shocks from "Delphic" shocks that reveal the Federal Reserve's macroeconomic forecasts. To decompose monetary policy surprises into these separate components we construct a measure of Federal Reserve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014121896