This paper examines the causality between the exchange rates and stock prices in the Middle East and North Africa Region before and after Asian financial crisis. Applying a non-causality testing procedure developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995), we empirically find that there is a unidirectional...

In this paper we propose a framework for predicting market returns and volatility using changes in the country's political risk. We identify the appropriate lag to calculate changes over, and show how the changes should be included in mean and volatility equations. The appropriate level of...

In existing behavioral finance literature on stock mispricing, rational investors largely play a passive role in tolerating mispricing due to limits to arbitrage. In this paper, we show that rational speculators sometimes proactively and intentionally create mispricing by driving up stock...

This study investigates the contagion effects of the 2007-2009 global financial crisis across multiple asset markets and different regions. It uses daily return data of six asset classes: stocks, bonds, commodities, shipping, foreign exchange and real estate. A robust analysis of financial...

This paper exploits the unique experimental setting created by nearly 1,300 new single stock futures listings on the OneChicago exchange between 2003 and 2009. I investigate the impact of derivatives introductions on the tightness of short sale constraints facing their underlying assets. After...

This study explores dynamic relationships between stock prices and exchange rates in Asian countries. These relationships are complex and include both linear and nonlinear relationships. We employ a nonparametric causality test to explore them. The nonparametric causality test is more robust to...

We investigate the existence and significance of a cross-sectional relation between idiosyncratic volatility and expected returns at the global level by introducing a global idiosyncratic volatility measure and globally diversified test assets. We find that the portfolios with the highest and...

Using monthly returns for over 37,000 stocks from 46 developed and emerging market countries over a two-decade period, we test whether empirical asset pricing models capture the size, value, and momentum patterns in international stock returns. We propose and test a multi-factor model that...

This paper examines transmission of shocks between the U.S. and foreign markets to delineate interdependence from contagion of the U.S. financial crisis by constructing shock models for partially-overlapping and non-overlapping markets. There exists important bi-directional, yet asymmetric,...

Our paper examines the effect of oil price changes on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets using nonlinear smooth transition regression (STR) models. Contrary to conventional wisdom, our empirical results reveal that GCC stock markets do not have similar sensitivities to oil price...