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We derive a nonparametric test for constant (continuous) beta over a fixed interval of time. Continuous beta is defined as the ratio of the continuous covariation between an asset and observable risk factor (e.g., the market return) and the continuous variation of the latter. Our test is based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010253467
The simultaneous occurrence of jumps in several stocks can be associated with major financial news, triggers short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544772
We develop a new method that detects jumps nonparametrically in financial time series and significantly outperforms the … generated by a process that experiences both jumps and volatility bursts. As a result, the network learns how to disentangle the …: we obtain fewer spurious detection and identify a larger number of true jumps. When applied to real data, our approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181300
We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps …-capitalization stocks traded on the Euronext-Paris Bourse. We find that, at tick frequency, the overnight return, the intraday jumps, and … microstructure model explains on average 47.7% of the total variation. Once jumps are filtered and parameters are estimated in real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
While attention is a predictor for digital asset prices, and jumps in Bitcoin prices are well-known, we know little … digital asset returns are driven by high frequency jumps clustered around black swan events, resembling volatility and trading … volume seasonalities. Regressions show that intra-day jumps significantly influence end of day returns in size and direction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323741
This study attempts to discover the nexus between crude oil price fluctuation after heavy oil upgrading and stock returns of petroleum companies in the U.S. Stock Exchange for the years 2008 to 2018. One of the methods of upgrading heavy crude oil is to extract asphaltene from crude oil....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029331
There are different approaches for the detection of market phase changes in stock markets. Most of them utilize various assumptions and constraints which makes these methods somewhat arbitrary. This paper develops an algorithm which identifies bull and bear markets retrospectively in a very...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929796
Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing.I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially for risk premia measurement. All models take the same set...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236793
We extract contextualized representations of news text to predict returns using the state-of-the-art large language models in natural language processing. Unlike the traditional bag-of-words approach, the contextualized representation captures both the syntax and semantics of text, thus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351081
This paper introduces a new class of stochastic volatility models which allows for stochastic volatility of volatility (SVV): Volatility modulated non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (VMOU) processes. Various probabilistic properties of (integrated) VMOU processes are presented. Further we study the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117444