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Major bubble episodes are rare events. In this paper, we examine what factors might cause some asset price bubbles to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010359796
We propose a novel class of models in which the crash hazard rate is determined by a function of a non-local estimation of mispricing. Rooted in behavioral finance, the non-local estimation embodies in particular the characteristic of "anchoring" on past price levels and the "probability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800780
We provide a theory to investigate the implications of time-varying bailout policy for rational bubbles in an infinite …-horizon production economy. In particular, we ask two questions. First, should the government bail out asset bubbles? Second, if yes, how … bubbles are vulnerable to market sentiment and resource-consuming. The systematic risk of bubble bursting causes both asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841468
Major bubble episodes are rare events. In this paper, we examine what factors might cause some asset price bubbles to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056391
Major bubble episodes are rare events. In this paper, we examine what factors might cause some asset price bubbles to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077506
bubbles it is lower. Lower Spillover Persistence also associates with a more fragile system, e.g., a higher probability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015176897
The USAGE model for the United States is used to quantify economic costs due to stock mispricing, made operational by shocking Tobin’s q. The simulations quantify a potentially large impact even in the most favorable environment, where export demand holds up, and, the dollar is pro-cyclical. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009411626
We develop a model of rational bubbles based on the assumptions of unknown market liquidity and limited liability of … condition for whether rational bubbles are possible. Based on this analysis, we discuss several widely-discussed policy measures … with respect to their effectiveness in preventing bubbles. A reduction of manager bonuses or a Tobin tax can create or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008738294
reflects very well the financial market crises and pricing bubbles over the past 20 years. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427987
and that started to burst in June 2015. The analysis is based on (i) the economic theory of rational expectation bubbles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412033