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In assessing drivers of commodity prices and volatility at this stage of the current super-cycle in commodities (year …
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This paper estimates global bad and good uncertainties from monthly data on industrial production from a large set of countries. Bad and good uncertainties have opposite effects on macro aggregates and stock returns. An increase in bad uncertainty adversely impacts both, while an increase in...
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Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of September 2009. Low volatility pushes down risk premium. That could lead global investors … for about seven years. This will bring asset price volatility and risk premium to normalize too. We remain concerned about … asset price and a growth contraction in EMEs. Accordingly, we overview volatility of financial market and new trends in …
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