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This paper proposes Spillover Persistence as a measure for financial fragility. The volatility paradox predicts that fragility builds up when volatility is low, which challenges existing measures. Spillover Persistence tackles this challenge by exploring a novel dimension of systemic risk: loss...
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We characterize asset return linkages during periods of stress by an extremal dependence measure. Contrary to correlation analysis, this nonparametric measure is not predisposed toward the normal distribution and can allow for nonlinear relationships. Our estimates for the G-5 countries suggest...
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This paper employs an Extreme Value Theory framework to investigate the existence of contagion between European and US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008758400
We examine whether a put-call ratio, derived from a unique set of market data, can be used to predict directional moves in asset prices during various market conditions between March 2005 and December 2012. Our findings show: 1) specific market participant's options trading volume is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905111
The paper studies the emergence of contrarian behavior in information networks in an asset pricing market. Financial traders coordinate on similar behavior, but have heterogeneous price expectations and are influenced by friends. According to a popular belief, they are prone to herding. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995192
This paper analyses the effect of asset prices on credit growth in France and tries to disentangle credit demand and … period, but without credit supply factors being singled out. By contrast, housing price growth has a significant effect … during periods of financial instability only, even after controlling for credit demand effects. These results show that …
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