It is well known that intraday volatilities and trading volumes exhibit strong seasonal features. These seasonalities are usually modeled using dummy variables or deterministic functions. Here, we propose a test for seasonal long memory with a known frequency. Using this test, we show that...

We show that there is strong evidence of long-range dependence in the volatilities of several German stock returns. This will be done by estimating the memory parameter of the absolute returns with classical log-periodogram regression as well as by employing the tapered periodogram. Both...

The presence of autocorrelated financial returns has major implications for investment decisions. Unsurprisingly, therefore, numerous studies have sought to shed light on whether returns are autocorrelated or not, to what extent, and when. Standard tests for autocorrelation rely on the...

We develop an exact and distribution-free procedure to test for quantile predictability at several quantile levels jointly, while allowing for an endogenous predictive regressor with any degree of persistence. The approach proceeds by combining together the quantile regression t-statistics from...

Lawsuits brought pursuant to section 10(b) of the Securities and Exchange Act depend on the reliability of a statistical tool called an event study to adjudicate issues of reliance, materiality, loss causation, and damages. Although judicial acceptance of the event study technique is pervasive,...

This paper examines quantile dependence and directional predictability between the foreign exchange market and the stock market in Korea. Instead of adopting a multivariate model such as a vector autoregressive model, a multivariate GARCH model or a combination of both models, we apply the...

Empirical financial literature documents the evidence of mean reversion in stock prices and the absence of out-of-sample return predictability over periods shorter than 10 years. The goal of this paper is to test the random walk hypothesis in stock prices and return predictability over periods...

Recent empirical evidence suggests that the variance risk premium predicts aggregate stock market returns. We demonstrate that statistical finite sample biases cannot “explain” this apparent predictability. Further corroborating the existing evidence of the U.S., we show that country...

The study of stock market efficiency has been the objective of many researches across the globe since the last few decades. But the evidence is mixed on whether the stock market is efficient. While some studies conclude that the stock markets are efficient, other studies cast doubt on this...

This article examines the dynamic relationship among the stock market and macroeconomic factors for the stock market of Nepal. The study documented both short-run and long-run interdependence among stock index and some macroeconomic variables. The estimated results suggest unidirectional...