Showing 1 - 10 of 3,202
This paper studies the dynamic behavior of asset prices using a chartist - fundamentalist model with two speculative markets. To this effect, we employ a differential system with delays similar to Dibeh (2007) to describe the price dynamics and we assume that the two markets are coupled via...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064931
Volatility in the financial markets is commonplace and it comes with a cost. One of these costs is abrupt and huge drop in stock price that is known as stock price crash. To model this, we propose a new machine-learning based stock crash risk measure using minimum covariance determinant (MCD) to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235846
I develop a stochastic growth model with production where there is a hidden state governing productivity growth regimes, and the hidden state evolves according to a Markov chain. Economic agents learn about the hidden state and display ambiguity aversion in the spirit of Klibanoff et al. (2005)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009411461
We use the Bayesian method introduced by Gallant and McCulloch (2009) to estimate consumption-based asset pricing models featuring smooth ambiguity preferences. We rely on semi-nonparametric estimation of a flexible auxiliary model in our structural estimation. Based on the market and aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780610
This paper presents an optimal allocation problem in a financial market with one risk-free and one risky asset, when the market is driven by a stochastic market price of risk. We solve the problem in continuous time, for an investor with a Constant Relative Risk Aversion (CRRA) utility, under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862680
This paper offers a model for financial market crashes without the two basic hypotheses - the assets are perfectly divisible, and their trading takes place continuously in time. We show that financial market crashes stem endogenously from an inherent characteristic of financial markets rather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946908
A simple discrete-time financial market model is introduced. The market participants consist of a collection of noise traders as well as a distinguished agent who uses the price information as it arrives to update her demand for the assets. It is shown that the distinguished agent's demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031059
A new acceptable price approach to stochastic endpoint determination at given horizon accounting for the marginal investor beliefs and behaviour was proposed. Two-sided filtration with FBSDE defined stochastic dynamics was formulated for acceptable asset price under the risk-neutral probability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225759
We discover that letting agents pairwise sequentially exchange at "wrong" prices has a robust effect on prices at convergence. If the initial relative price for a good is cheaper than the equilibrium walrasian price due to initial endowments, the initial excess demand effect pushes resource...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081713
Order flow in equity markets is remarkably persistent in the sense that order signs (to buy or sell) are positively autocorrelated out to time lags of tens of thousands of orders, corresponding to many days. Two possible explanations are herding, corresponding to positive correlation in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051729