Showing 1 - 10 of 3,592
This study attempts analyse the different indices of ‘Bombay Stock Exchange' (BSE) of India, in terms of risk return characteristics and their relatedness and predictibility to address the relavite neglect of past studies. Further it investigates the volatility impact of different sub indices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100510
This study investigates the cross-country impact of U.S. equity market skewness risk. We find that a large decrease in the U.S. market skewness significantly predicts high future returns on international equity markets. The predictability remains significant after controlling for a set of U.S....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902203
In this study, we separately estimate the implied volatility from bid prices and ask prices ofdeep out-of-the-money (OTM) put options on the S&P500 index. We find that the impliedvolatility of ask prices has stronger stock return predictability than that of bid prices. Our finding is robust to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907873
We investigate the impact of China's economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the time series variation of Chinese stock market expected returns. Using the news based measure in Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016), we find that EPU predicts negatively future stock market return at various horizons. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968808
This paper investigates the effects of U.S. economic variables on the time variation of Chinese stock market volatility. We find that several U.S. economic variables such as the dividend price ratio, dividend yield and industrial production strongly forecast the future monthly volatilities of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969357
We find that investor attention proxies proposed in the literature collectively have a common component that has significant power in predicting stock market risk premium, both in-sample and out-of-sample. This common component is well extracted by using partial least squares, scaled principal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852097
Recent evidence on the relationship between investor sentiment and subsequent monthly market returns in China shows that investor sentiment is a reliable momentum predictor since an increase (decrease) in investor sentiment leads to higher (lower) future returns. However, we suggest that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931914
We investigate the stock return predictability for the aggregate Central and Eastern European (CEE) markets from 1998 through the mid-2017. Using the firm-level data we construct country portfolios and sets of component portfolios: 10 industry portfolios, 10 size portfolios, 10 market-to-book...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912578
We survey the literature on stock return forecasting, highlighting the challenges faced by forecasters as well as strategies for improving return forecasts. We focus on U.S. equity premium forecastability and illustrate key issues via an empirical application based on updated data. Some studies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351279
We propose a new approach to model high and low frequency components of equity correlations. Our framework combines a factor asset pricing structure with other specifications capturing dynamic properties of volatilities and covariances between a single common factor and idiosyncratic returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003821063