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We find that stock price crash risk is positively associated with lagged equity lending fee and fee risk. This positive relation is stronger for the stocks with a lower short interest level and higher information uncertainty. Our results are robust to using alternative measures of price crash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996039
Existing research indicates that it is possible to forecast potential long-term returns in the S&P 500 for periods of more than 10 years using the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio (CAPE). This paper concludes that this relationship has also existed internationally in 17 MSCI Country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998360
This supplemental appendix extends the main paper by presenting additional analyses and robustness checks. It also describes the procedure to construct the Monthly TAQ effective spread benchmark.The paper "A Simple Estimation of Bid-Ask Spreads from Daily Close, High, and Low Prices" to which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968801
I study how investor horizons affect the price reaction of the stocks to earnings announcements. In the theory, short-run investors trade frequently, while long-run traders hold and trade on fundamentals. The model predicts that the reaction to an earnings announcement is shifted downward for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946248
I reexamine whether media articles with substantive editorial content inform the market's reaction to firms' earnings news. Using variation in earnings announcement coverage because of restructuring at The Wall Street Journal (WSJ), my analyses suggest that WSJ earnings articles improve price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222108
Using a novel equity lending dataset, this paper is the first to show that expected returns strongly and negatively predict future equity lending fees. In comparing two expected return measures, I find that a rational expected return has stronger predictive power of future short selling activity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491786
Financial intermediaries play a key role in the formation of asset prices. More specifically, the increasing importance of non-bank financial intermediaries has raised new questions about the risks that hedge funds pose to the financial system. We focus on the role that changes in hedge fund...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492143
Entries and exits are often triggered by substantive private information, and we propose PC_NII, the percentage change in the number of a stock's institutional investors, as a measure of informed trading. Over the 1982 to 2010 period, the top PC_NII decile outperforms the bottom PC_NII decile by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116676
Using the vector autoregression (VAR) analysis, this study empirically documents the impulse response functions of financial stress and market risk premiums and performs a causality test of these two variables. The analysis of the monthly changes of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104119
This paper studies the relationship between consumption and assets wealth based on the concept of cointegration. The analysis focuses on French data on the 1987 to 2006 period. This relationship is expressed in two ways: Marginal Propensity to Consume approach and Elasticity approach. Three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150899