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The study of natural catastrophe models plays an important role in the prevention and mitigation of disasters. After … the occurrence of a natural disaster, the reconstruction can be financed with catastrophe bonds (CAT bonds) or reinsurance … basis risk borne by the sponsor while still preserving a non-indemnity trigger mechanism. Our results indicate that the …
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We document strong abnormal effects due to U.S. landfall hurricanes over the period 1990 to 2017 on stock returns and illiquidity across portfolios of stocks sorted by market equity (ME), book-to-market equity ratio (BE/ME), momentum, return-on-equity (ROE), and investment-to-assets (I/A). ROE-...
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We examine the connection between tail risk — as measured in Kelly and Jiang (2014) — and the cross-section of expected … risk appears to forecast discount rates — and not cash flows — which seems inconsistent with crash-based explanations of … the importance of tail risk. We also compare the time series of tail risk to measures of aggregate uncertainty, a measure …
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their clients’ natural disaster risk … disaster area. We find robust evidence that banks charge significantly higher loan spreads for firms located in the … neighborhood of the disaster area than for remote firms. The results are not driven by regional spillovers, limited credit supply …
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This study provides empirical support for recent theoretical models that allow for time-varying rare disaster risk … disaster probability, have a statistically significant and economically large impact on both the mean and volatility of world … the involvement of major powers. Using predictive regressions, there is no significant relation between crisis risk and …
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A growing body of evidence suggests that uncertainty is counter cyclical, rising sharply in recessions and falling in booms. But what is the causal relationship between uncertainty and growth? To identify this we construct cross country panel data on stock market levels and volatility as proxies...
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