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Theory as well as empirics suggest that both the level and the volatility of uncertainty impact important economic … variables. There is a need to extend models of uncertainty to the volatility of uncertainty. We analyse the dynamics of the …, Germany, Italy and the UK – between 1997 and 2019, consider-able portions of both the level and the volatility of economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323381
construct a term structure of bitcoin implied volatility indices using a variance swap fair-value formula that is employed by … million option prices, we construct the bitcoin implied volatility indices with maturities from one week to three months … also examine the relationship between bitcoin's 30-day realised variance, volatility index and variance risk premium with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849306
A later version of this paper has been published in the Journal of Financial Stability (Volume 50, October 2020, Article Number 100776).When trading volumes are high, bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and -- until recently -- the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) lead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849349
- and second-moment exchange rate exposure on individual firm value and the stock return volatility underlying exchange rate … equity financing cost. -- exchange rate exposure ; asymmetric currency exposure ; financial crises ; asymmetric volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743539
cointegration and Markov-switching VECM and Impulse Response Analysis, confirms that these markets have significant linkages which … vary according to whether they are in low or high volatility regimes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011479769
(ARDL) and nonlinear ARDL models, contrary to prior literature, we find significant symmetric negative relationship between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011886968
This paper examines the determinants of the South African rand/US dollar (ZAR/USD) exchange rate based on demand and supply analysis. Applying the EGARCH method, the paper finds that the ZAR/USD exchange rate is positively associated with the South African government bond yield, US real GDP, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450559
This paper reports a study on the causal dynamics between spot oil price, exchange rates, and stock prices in Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania, and Serbia. The results are compared with a benchmark analysis in which U.S. monthly data are used, and time periods are selected according...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011854772
countries are also done. An attempt is made here to study specifically the impact of crude oil price volatility on stock prices … and exchange rates on the basis of crude oil export and import volume. Monthly data from January 2004 to December 2015 has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963642
This paper estimates the cash flow and real effects of currency mismatches generated by foreign-priced operations of French manufacturers. The value of transactions invoiced in foreign currencies is twice as sensitive to exchange rates as the value of transactions invoiced in the domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310101