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This paper provides global evidence supporting the hypothesis that expected return models are enhanced by the inclusion of variables that describe the evolution of book-to-market-changes in book value, changes in price, and net share issues. This conclusion is supported using data representing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022063
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407766
for value and momentum effects, but only weak evidence for size premium. We formed portfolios double-sorted on size and … book-to-market ratios, as well as on size and momentum, and we explain their returns with the above-mentioned asset pricing …, but fail to explain returns on the size and momentum sorted portfolios. With the exception of the momentum factor, local …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026674
We examine the predictability of expected stock returns across horizons using machine learning. We use neural networks, and gradient boosted regression trees on the U.S. and international equity datasets. We find that predictability of returns using neural networks models decreases with longer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012426271
momentum strategy. The Japanese case illustrates the necessity of considering structural instability related to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009552906
momentum risk factor (as existing work has suggested), but also the widely-used U.S. size and value risk factors. We then build … novel pan-European and country-specific momentum, size, and value risk factors. By comparing our pan-European market returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009236964
basis of small stocks. Empirically, we show that (i) small-stock components of traditional value and momentum factors … capture patterns in returns on regional and global portfolios of stocks; (ii) size-effect models substantially outperform … benchmark models in finance; (iii) global small-stock value and momentum components are priced but regional models lead to more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010224775
conservatively. Surprisingly, survivor stocks tend to be loser stocks with negative exposure to the momentum factor. Further analyses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888297
We report strong evidence that changes of momentum, i.e. "acceleration", defined as the first difference of successive … returns, provide better performance and higher explanatory power than momentum. The corresponding Γ-factor explains the … momentum-sorted portfolios entirely but not the reverse. Thus, momentum can be considered an imperfect proxy for acceleration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411974
This paper proposes a risk-based explanation of the momentum anomaly on equity markets. Regressing the momentum … the USA from 1963 to 2012 reduces the momentum effect from a highly statistically significant 11.94% to an insignificant 1 ….84%. We find additional supportive out-of sample evidence for our risk-based momentum explanation in a sample of 23 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906204