Akbari, Mehran; Bauer, Christian; Neuenkirch, Matthias; … - 2025 - First Draft: September 9, 2025
Economic expectations play a central role in financial markets, yet investors often disagree about the economy's future. This disagreement has long been viewed as a potential driver of asset prices, but it remains unclear whether it reflects mispricing or a priced source of risk. We address this...