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This paper is set to reconcile the existent conflicting empirical evidence on the effect of oil prices on stock prices. We estimate various nonlinear models where the response changes according to a first-order Markov switching process. More importantly, we model the transition probabilities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352223
We use the highest frequency data that have ever been studied before to investigate the relationship between the price of oil and stock market returns. In the context of a bivariate (identified using heteroscedasticity in daily data) structural VAR in stock market returns and the change in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890813
This study attempts to discover the nexus between crude oil price fluctuation after heavy oil upgrading and stock returns of petroleum companies in the U.S. Stock Exchange for the years 2008 to 2018. One of the methods of upgrading heavy crude oil is to extract asphaltene from crude oil....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029331
We study the effects of crude oil price shocks on the stock market volatility of the G7 economies. We rely on a structural VAR model to identify the causes underlying the oil price shocks and gauge the differential impact that oil supply and oil demand innovations have on financial volatility....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438638
This study examined the impact of oil price on African stock markets. Using quarterly data from five selected oil producing countries with stock market presence, from Q1:2010 to Q4:2018, the study deployed dynamic panel analysis technique for a model comprising stock returns, real gross domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104634
This paper reports a study on the causal dynamics between spot oil price, exchange rates, and stock prices in Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania, and Serbia. The results are compared with a benchmark analysis in which U.S. monthly data are used, and time periods are selected according...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011854772
We study the impact of oil price shocks on US stock market volatility. We derive three different structural oil shock variables (i.e. aggregate demand, oil-supply, and oil-demand shocks) and relate them to stock market volatility, using bivariate structural VAR models, one for each oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010476423
In the recent years several commentators hinted at an increase of the correlation between equity and commodity prices, and blamed investment in commodity-related products for this. First, this paper investigates such claims by looking at various measures of correlation. Next, we assess to what...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081553
experiments to test that hypothesis by examining its implications. If business cycles are mainly driven by news then these shocks … demands time to build, economic activity and natural resources to come into effect. -- Business Cycles ; News Shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009229732
Reforms aimed at reducing the regulatory barriers to firm entry and bolstering greater firm creation have gained significant prominence in economies beyond the U.S. Given these facts and amid growing work on the link between firm creation and cyclical housing-market dynamics, we document a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213575