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income. The significance of this link increases with economic integration. -- Cointegration ; European integration …
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economic integration. -- Cointegration ; European integration ; financial markets ; restricted autoregressive model …
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Fed's Survey of Professional Forecasters, I find that the univariate association between stock returns and GDP growth … hypotheses for this puzzling phenomenon. The first hypothesis is that GDP growth forecast surprises are correlated with … offsetting cash flow news and discount rate news. The second hypothesis is that GDP growth forecast surprises measure news about …
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