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", stock-market fluctuations should Granger cause fluctuations of the unemployment rate. We performed several Granger … (2015) for U.S. data, we found that the stock market Granger causes unemployment in the short run and the long run when we … control for a deterministic trend in the unemployment rate. Results of a frequency-domain test show that, in the short run …
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regression models, 2010) as well as the cointegration tests developed in Arai and Kurozumi (Testing for the null hypothesis of … cointegration with a structural break, 2007) and Kejriwal (Cointegration with structural breaks: an application to the Feldstein …- Horioka Puzzle, 2008). The results obtained are consistent with the existence of linear cointegration between the log stock …
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Evidence of the asymmetric wealth effect has important implications for investors and continues to merit research attention, not least because much of the evidence based on linear models has been refuted. Indeed, stock and house prices are influenced by economic activity and react non-linearly...
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A simple manipulation of the cointegrated framework proposed by Lettau and Ludvigson (2001, 2004) allows to demonstrate that temporary fluctuations of the U.S. consumption-wealth ratio predict excess returns on international stock markets. This finding is the reflection of an important common,...
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