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Accuracy in risk estimation based on simple SMA and EWNA models : evidence from Macedonain Stock Market
Angelovska, Julijana; Ivanovski, Zoran - In: UTMS journal of economics / University of Tourism and … 9 (2018) 1, pp. 17-27
Risk estimation or volatility estimation at financial markets, particularly stock exchange markets, is complex issue of … pricing of stocks and better risk management. The aim of this research is to test applicability of simple models like Simple … Moving Average (SMA) and Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) to estimate risk. The performance of SMA and EWMA with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011901688
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Price index modeling and risk prediction of sharia stocks in Indonesia
Hersugondo; Ghozali, Imam; Handriani, Eka; Trimono, Trimono - In: Economies : open access journal 10 (2022) 1, pp. 1-13
loss risk. This study uses geometric Brownian motion (GBM) and Value at Risk (VaR; with the Monte Carlo Simulation approach …) on the daily closing price of JKII from 1 August 2020-13 August 2021 to predict the price and loss risk of JKII at 16 … 2.03%. Then, using VaR with a Monte Carlo Simulation approach, the loss risk prediction for 16 August 2021 (one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800645
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On equity risk prediction and tail spillovers
Pouliasis, Panos; Kyriakou, Ioannis; Papapostolou, Nikos - In: International journal of finance & economics : IJFE 22 (2017) 4, pp. 379-393
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011960379
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Predicting stock returns : a risk measurement perspective
Dai, Zhifeng; Kang, Jie; Wen, Fenghua - In: International review of financial analysis 74 (2021), pp. 1-14
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012803806
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Risk measures and the impact of asset price bubbles
Jarrow, Robert A.; Silva, Felipe Bastos Gurgel - In: Journal of risk 17 (2014/15) 3, pp. 35-56
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298886
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Asymptotic dependence modelling of the BRICS stock markets
Sigauke, Caston; Mukhodobwane, Rosinah; Chagwiza, Wilbert; … - In: International Journal of Financial Studies : open … 10 (2022) 3, pp. 1-32
With the use of empirical data, this paper focuses on solving financial and investment issues involving extremal dependence of 10 pairwise combinations of the 5 BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) stock markets. Daily closing equity indices from 5 January 2010 to 6 August 2018...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013368365
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Predictability of Risk Measures in International Stock Markets
Bali, Turan G. - 2012
This paper investigates the predictability of variance and value at-risk (VaR) measures in international stock markets … determine the persistency of these risk measures. We find that for all G7 countries considered in the paper persistency in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116934
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Asymmetric jump beta estimation with implications forportfolio risk management
Alexeev, Vitali; Urga, Giovanni; Yao, Wenying - 2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806610
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How does bubble risk propagate among financial assets? : a perspective from the BSADF-vine copula model
Yao, Can-Zhong; Li, Min-Jian; Xu, Xin - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 88 (2023), pp. 347-364
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014475372