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We experimentally investigate how price expectations are formed in a large asset market where subjects' only task is to forecast the future price of a risky asset. The realized prices depend on these expectations. We observe small (6 participants) and large markets (about 100 participants). In...
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We study the emergence of bubbles in a laboratory experiment with large groups of individuals. The realized price is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892070
and chartists, comprises four features: (i) price determination by excess demand; (ii) a herding mechanism that gives rise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009424773
herding behavior and market risk. Moreover, speculators' orders depend on price trends, market misalignments and fundamental … news. Using a mix of analytical and numerical tools, we show that a herding-induced market entry wave may amplify excess …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011702006
We develop an asset market participation model in which investors base their market entry decisions on the momentum, value and risk of the market. Despite our behavioral framework, the model’s fundamental steady state is characterized by standard present-value relations between expected future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013201794
The existence of influence among participants on financial markets is affirmed by the theory of behavioural finance … influence, namely herding and individual social interaction. Herding behaviour is well known and has already been intensively … herding is dominant, the influence from individual social interaction plays a considerable role for the aggregated outcome of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137950
This paper employs numerical simulations of the Park and Sabourian (2011) herd model to derive new theory …-based predictions for how information risk and market stress influence aggregate herding intensity. We test these predictions … sell herding. The model also explains why buy, not sell, herding is more pronounced during the financial crisis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010356865
Traders differ in speed and their speed differences matter. I model strategic interactions induced when high frequency traders (HFTs) have different speeds in an extended Kyle (1985) framework. HFTs are assumed to anticipate incoming orders and trade rapidly to exploit normal-speed traders'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905107
expectations by Bayesian learning based on observations from their own lifetimes. In this model, the stock price exhibits … approximated by a representative-agent model with constant-gain learning, where the gain parameter is related to the survival rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117820