The objective of this paper is to provide a practical tool for stock price evaluation and forecasting under Extreme Value Theory (EVT). Three existing models are reviewed; these models include: Mordern Portfolio Theory, Black-Scholes, and Jarrow-Rudd models. It was found that these models may not...

The accuracy of variance prediction depends on both the specification and the accuracy of parameter estimation. To predict stock return variance in a large and ever-changing universe, this paper proposes to replace the classic time-series dynamics specification per each name with a...

In this paper, we provide non-parametric statistical tools to test stationarity of microstructure noise in general hidden Ito semimartingales, and discuss how to measure liquidity risk using high frequency financial data. In particular, we investigate the impact of non-stationary microstructure...

We investigate price duration variance estimators that have long been neglected in the literature. We show i) how price duration estimators can be used for the estimation and forecasting of the integrated variance of an underlying semi-martingale price process and ii) how they are affected by a)...

The quantification of risk and dependence are major components of financial risk modelling. Financial risk modelling frequenty uses the assumption of a normal distribution when considereing the return series which makes modelling easy but is inefficient if the data is not normally distributed or...

This paper tests the relationship between above market returns and beta, size, leverage, book-to-market equity and earning-price ratios for Bucharest Stock Exchange common stocks. Results from cross-sectional regressions document that both book-to-market equity and earning-price ratios are...

The market impact (MI) of Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) orders is a slightly convex function of a trading rate, but most empirical estimates of transaction cost are concave functions. How is this possible? We suggest a model that ts all trading regimes and guarantees no-dynamic-arbitrage

The market impact (MI) of Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) orders is a convex function of a trading rate, but most empirical estimates of transaction cost are concave functions. How is this possible? We show that isochronic (constant trading time) MI is slightly convex, and isochoric...

We study how the distribution of stock returns is influenced through investor opinion by applying expectile regression to abnormal NASDAQ returns over the period April 2015 - August 2019. Thereby, we differentiate between different aspects of investor opinion: investor perception, attention and...