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The debate over including asset prices in the construction of an inflation statistic has attracted renewed attention in … inflation at the retail level. In this paper, we take an alternative, longer-term perspective on the issue and argue that the … exclusion of asset prices introduces an 'excluded goods bias' in the computation of the inflation statistic that is of interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233847
The debate over including asset prices in the construction of an inflation statistic has attracted renewed attention in … inflation at the retail level. In this paper, we take an alternative, longer-term perspective on the issue and argue that the … exclusion of asset prices introduces an 'excluded goods bias' in the computation of the inflation statistic that is of interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470015
investment, and is in line with empirically documented facts about money growth, inflation and asset prices in literature. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868337
responds to inflation, output and asset prices in the presence of productivity shocks, monetary policy shocks, and financial … over and above the inflation and output outlook in order to achieve greater macroeconomic and financial stability. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968796
We study the distributional consequences of housing price, bond price and equity price increases for Euro Area households using data from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS). The capital gains from bond price and equity price increases turn out to be concentrated among relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011316626
We construct a slope factor from changes in federal funds futures of different horizons. A positive slope signals faster monetary policy tightening and predicts negative excess returns at the weekly frequency. Investors can achieve increases in weekly Sharpe ratios of 20% conditioning on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935261
We study the distributional consequences of housing price, bond price and equity price increases for Euro Area households using data from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS). The capital gains from bond price and equity price increases turn out to be concentrated among relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988678
Fundamentally, stocks are a good hedge against inflation if corporate profitability keeps up with inflation. Using … monthly stock-market data covering over 151 years from 1871 to 2022, this paper analyzes the relationship between inflation … between corporate profitability and inflation varies across sample periods, time horizons, and ranges of inflation. Corporate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236607
We consider an alternative modelling approach to the mainstream DSGE paradigm, namely a Dynamic Stochastic General Disequilibrium (DSGD) baseline model of continuous and gradual adjustment processes on interacting real and financial markets. Heterogeneous capital gain expectations (chartists and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490978
We merge a financial market model with leverage-constrained, heterogeneous agents with a reduced-form version of the New-Keynesian standard model. Agents in both submodels are assumed to be boundedly rational. The financial market model produces endogenously arising boom-bust cycles. It is also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009384917