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The empirical literature of stock market predictability mainly suffers from model uncertainty and parameter instability. To meet this challenge, we propose a novel approach that combines the documented merits of diffusion indices, regime-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the...
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Purpose: This article investigates stock return predictability in the Korean stock market using the methodology of dynamic factor analysis. Design/methodology/approach: This article collects monthly data on the equity risk premium on the KOSPI and twelve financial and macroeconomic variables...
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