This paper studies a modern monetary economy: trade in both goods and securities relies on money provided by intermediaries. While money is valued for its liquidity, its creation requires costly leverage. Inflation, security prices and the transmission of monetary policy then depend on the...

Both monetary policy and real factors played crucial causal roles in the housing boom and bust. Monetary policy distorted relative prices, particularly intertemporal prices. Prices play a critical role in allocating resources by signaling the relative scarcity of resources. Prices convey...

This paper investigates the effect of monetary policy on stock market bubbles and trading behavior in experimental asset markets. For this purpose, we introduce the possibility of investing in interest bearing bonds to the widely used laboratory asset market design of Smith, Suchanek, and...

This paper examines the association between option-implied interest rate distributions and macroeconomic expectations in the context of a forward-looking monetary policy rule. We presume that market participants view the policy rule as a guide to the path of future policy rates and price...

This study seeks evidence supporting the impact of an expansionary monetary policy on the stock index value. We are trying to emphasize a negative relationship between a stock index value and a fluctuation of the long-term interest rates due to an excess supply of money. To that end, we have...

The slope factor is constructed from changes in federal funds futures of different horizons and predicts stock returns at the weekly frequency: faster policy easing positively predicts returns. It contains information about the speed of future monetary policy tightening and loosening, and...

We construct a slope factor from changes in federal funds futures of different horizons. A positive slope signals faster monetary policy tightening and predicts negative excess returns at the weekly frequency. Investors can achieve increases in weekly Sharpe ratios of 20% conditioning on the...

In this paper, we provide evidence on the response of stock market returns to monetary policy shocks but condition the analysis on both the direction of monetary policy surprises and business conditions. We follow a two-step approach: First, we use an structural vector autoregressive (SVAR)...

We show that firm liability structure and associated cash flow matter for firm behavior, and that financial market participants price stocks accordingly. Looking at firm level stock price changes around monetary policy announcements, we find that firms that have more cash flow exposure see their...

A large literature uses high-frequency changes in interest rates around FOMC announcements to study monetary policy. These yield changes have puzzlingly low explanatory power for the stock market - even in a narrow 30-minute window. We propose a new approach to test whether the unexplained...