We study fluctuations in stock prices using a framework derived from the present value model augmented with a macroeconomic factor. The fundamental value is derived as the expected present discounted value of broad dividends that include, in addition to traditional cash dividends, other payouts...

The paper argues that bond investors (and, implicitly large creditors in general), may not necessarily demonstrate the “Investors' Smartness” that some previous studies attributed to large institutional holders, when it comes to pricing-in for economic shocks likely to occur in future. This...

L'inflazione degli asset, a differenza dell'inflazione ordinaria, che si riferisce a l'aumento dei prezzi dei beni di consumo, merci all'ingrosso, o il deflatore del reddito nazionale, è un termine che non è in uso in occidente, ma corrente in Giappone. Ci sono momenti in cui gli assets...

We find strong evidence that U.S. common stocks have been a hedge against inflation from the early 1980's. We use monthly S&P500 and Dow-Jones Industrial indices from 1900, and test whether stock price and goods price are co-integrated over time. We find a stable long run relationship between...

High Frequency Trading is pervasive across all electronic financial markets. As algorithms replace an increasing number of tasks previously performed by humans, cascading effects similar to the Flash Crash of May 6th 2010 become more likely. In this study, we bring together a number of different...

This paper determines the causal relationship between stock prices and the macroeconomic variables representing the real sector of the Pakistani economy. In order to substantiate the purpose annual data has been acquired from the websites of State Bank of Pakistan and Federal Bureau of...

We derive lower and upper bounds on the conditional market autocorrelation index at various investment horizons without using the precise form of the utility function. The bounds are derived in terms of option prices and can be computed at daily frequency for any given horizon. The bounds...

This study investigates the price movement characteristics of banking issuers listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange with macroeconomic indicators as an exogenous variable. By using the k-means clustering based on the monthly rate of return, banks are classified into three clusters, lower,...

This paper proposes a framework to study contagious stock bubbles in a multi-sector production economy with heterogeneous investment technologies. Due to financial frictions, stock bubbles arise endogenously that help inject additional liquidity. Due to financial linkages, the existence of...

We study the impact that macroeconomic news has on equity prices. While the literature has already widely documented the effects of macroeconomic announcements on asset prices, as well as their asymmetric impact during good and bad times, we focus on the reaction to news when the description of...